Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.660076 0.738324 0.823234 0.922392 1.035232 1.159898 1.308405
2025-03-02 0.523564 0.627041 0.748295 0.901594 1.091258 1.319523 1.617008
2025-03-09 0.463250 0.580626 0.725438 0.918697 1.172040 1.495853 1.945898
2025-03-16 0.409906 0.532542 0.690158 0.909839 1.211665 1.616992 2.211333
2025-03-23 0.374850 0.502329 0.672088 0.917861 1.269853 1.763886 2.524239
2025-03-30 0.339648 0.467379 0.642734 0.905104 1.294736 1.863277 2.776846
2025-04-06 0.312465 0.440416 0.621002 0.899463 1.327048 1.973939 3.056322
2025-04-13 0.280176 0.403007 0.580487 0.861299 1.305071 1.997815 3.198647
2025-04-20 0.264834 0.388943 0.572651 0.871153 1.357199 2.141231 3.552010
2025-04-27 0.251385 0.376436 0.565773 0.881240 1.409693 2.289264 3.929927
2025-05-04 0.238698 0.363971 0.557696 0.888175 1.456826 2.431948 4.314705
2025-05-11 0.226604 0.351427 0.548321 0.891750 1.497891 2.567265 4.701596
2025-05-18 0.217413 0.343110 0.545486 0.906726 1.561460 2.751613 5.211945
2025-05-25 0.202163 0.323809 0.523109 0.885957 1.558805 2.813937 5.489303
2025-06-01 0.195104 0.317599 0.522157 0.902756 1.626560 3.016114 6.081331
2025-06-08 0.184323 0.304274 0.507925 0.894070 1.644815 3.123013 6.484404
2025-06-15 0.177134 0.296627 0.502974 0.901935 1.695552 3.299892 7.066362
2025-06-22 0.167405 0.283861 0.487973 0.889427 1.704290 3.390531 7.463638
2025-06-29 0.159464 0.273770 0.477095 0.883896 1.726493 3.511669 7.950095
2025-07-06 0.147689 0.256041 0.451033 0.846474 1.678808 3.475680 8.047912
2025-07-13 0.143093 0.251193 0.448656 0.856137 1.731806 3.668880 8.749257
2025-07-20 0.138810 0.246649 0.446516 0.866028 1.786104 3.870924 9.505518
2025-07-27 0.134406 0.241601 0.443049 0.872828 1.834087 4.063478 10.267677